Vigilant-Pentagon
0xc80ffc66a00a1a688f68e588b32487cb573e93c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$3.0K
Total PnL
$-570.69
Realised
$189.30
Win rate
80%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$50.00
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
400 shares @ 93.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$394.80
$22.80
- NO
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?
300 shares @ 81.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$220.50
$-22.50
- NO
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
210 shares @ 73.0¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$193.20
$39.90
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
97 shares @ 66.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$86.40
$22.69
- NO
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?
109 shares @ 84.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$81.80
$-9.82
- NO
Will Croatia go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
50 shares @ 68.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$33.24
$-0.75
- NO
Will Egypt go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
40 shares @ 75.7¢·now 75.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$30.20
$-0.08
- NO
Relay FDV above $900M one day after launch?
44 shares @ 66.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$22.59
$-6.64
- YES
Will Lisandro Martínez be in Argentina's Starting 11?
20 shares @ 85.1¢·now 86.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$17.27
$0.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$6.84Jun 13, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lisandro Martínez be in Argentina's Starting 11?$8.76Jun 13, 13:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$1.80Jun 13, 13:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$22.71Jun 13, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$33.00Jun 13, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Declan Rice be in England's Starting 11?$27.19Jun 13, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$1.60Jun 13, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$76.11Jun 13, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$16.78Jun 13, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.00Jun 13, 13:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$6.43Jun 13, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$96.00Jun 13, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lisandro Martínez be in Argentina's Starting 11?$25.53Jun 13, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$1.60Jun 13, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$5.44Jun 13, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$20.80Jun 13, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$32.00Jun 13, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$4.16Jun 13, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$2.28Jun 13, 13:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$31.60Jun 13, 13:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $42.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 20:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 13:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.