Vigilant-Pentagon
0xc80ffc66a00a1a688f68e588b32487cb573e93c8
Wallet digest
Activity score
92/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
56
Open notional
$3.5K
Total PnL
$-638.66
Realised
$221.11
Win rate
81%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- NO
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
2000 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$10.00
- NO
Will G2 Esports Win an International Event in 2026?
321 shares @ 18.4¢·now 84.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$269.64
$210.66
- NO
Will anyone say "Camera" during Big Brother E11?
354 shares @ 57.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$244.22
$42.44
- NO
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?
300 shares @ 81.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$216.00
$-27.00
- U 1.5
Will DetonatioN FocusMe Win More than 1.5 Matches in VCT 2026 Pacific Stage 2
351 shares @ 66.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$198.27
$-33.38
- NO
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
210 shares @ 73.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$186.90
$33.60
- NO
Will Trump say "Six Seven" in July?
156 shares @ 69.7¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$125.72
$16.91
- NO
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?
109 shares @ 84.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$89.98
$-1.64
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
97 shares @ 66.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$88.33
$24.62
- YES
Will "Constitution" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
255 shares @ 31.4¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$85.42
$5.46
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill "Stock Market" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$75.10Jul 28, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Detective" during Big Brother E13?$16.20Jul 28, 22:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Boeing say "Delivery" during earnings call?$40.00Jul 28, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Camera" during Big Brother E11?$205.25Jul 28, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Constitution" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$82.16Jul 28, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Europe" or "European" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$17.69Jul 28, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Stock Market" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$121.01Jul 28, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" in July?$33.14Jul 27, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" in July?$5.86Jul 27, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Six Seven" in July?$71.12Jul 27, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beezie launch a token by December 31, 2026?$11.15Jul 27, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Monster launch a token by December 31, 2026?$11.15Jul 27, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Phygitals launch a token by December 31, 2026?$7.20Jul 27, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Courtyard launch a token by December 31, 2026?$7.20Jul 27, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Boeing say "Delivery" during earnings call?$37.46Jul 27, 13:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone say "Camera" during Big Brother E10?$82.00Jul 27, 10:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone say "Power" 5+ times during Big Brother E10?$10.00Jul 27, 02:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner$13.23Jul 26, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner$26.09Jul 26, 22:47 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner$24.86Jul 26, 22:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
45/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
81% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $37.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 17, 23:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 22:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.