Uniform-Acorn
0xc8199d943081661e0f57b8c0971f2ae8b607b7f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
18/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-369.54
Realised
$-10.65
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
278 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?
200 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?
115 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-71.32
- YES
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-04?
105 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-44.06
- YES
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-24?
88 shares @ 45.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-23?
77 shares @ 25.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 23, 2025$0.00
$-19.50
- YES
Will Japan win on 2025-09-06?
54 shares @ 36.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 7, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-27?
47 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Newcastle win on 2025-08-30?
42 shares @ 47.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-27?
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?$154.85Jun 13, 15:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 31, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 27, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $154.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.