Worst-Welfare
0xc81bdf7965792a2aed814f13b95704c7a53bb3c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-857.34
Realised
$-6.51
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 24?
2284 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-202.00
- YES
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes?
902 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-58.17
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
700 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C or higher on January 24?
500 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-19.94
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?
481 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?
448 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-38.79
- YES
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in over 2 hours and 30 minutes?
418 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-79.53
- YES
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minutes and 2 hours?
311 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
292 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$40.51Feb 19, 20:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$41.08Feb 19, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$74.12Feb 19, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$74.14Feb 19, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$68.19Feb 19, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$10.00Feb 19, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$78.19Feb 19, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$67.20Feb 19, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$67.20Feb 19, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$54.50Feb 19, 20:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$54.50Feb 19, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$36.63Feb 19, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$36.63Feb 19, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$35.22Feb 19, 19:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$35.22Feb 19, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$31.09Feb 19, 19:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$31.09Feb 19, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$27.62Feb 19, 19:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$27.63Feb 19, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$23.52Feb 19, 19:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $30.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 07:23 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 20:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".