Runny-Cold
0xc82ea1cf3dc1a5ba7f847c7925a5f0d04a8f9460
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-23.2K
Realised
$-1.9K
Win rate
50%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
46561 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-923.22
- ANYONES LEGEND
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)
9262 shares @ 55.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.2K
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,100 and $4,200 on October 21?
7349 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-832.81
- UP
XRP Up or Down on September 26?
4812 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- GEN.G
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner
4000 shares @ 71.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.8K
- UNDER
Games Total: O/U 3.5
3296 shares @ 35.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,800 and $3,900 on October 21?
2663 shares @ 45.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,900 and $4,000 on October 21?
2438 shares @ 39.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-952.04
- YES
Will Elon tweet 210–224 times July 11–18?
2366 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-290.96
- NO
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?
2237 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-280.22
Recent activity
- REDEEMHyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?$0.00Nov 2, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner$817.55Nov 2, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$50.27Nov 2, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$61.54Nov 2, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLDiscord IPO in 2025?$162.54Nov 2, 07:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$255.93Nov 2, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?$520.63Nov 2, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner$1.0KNov 2, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?$885.06Nov 2, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMDodgers vs. Blue Jays$119.00Nov 2, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMMavericks vs. Pistons$831.43Nov 2, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner$320.00Nov 2, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?$61.64Nov 2, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$251.52Nov 2, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYDiscord IPO in 2025?$168.89Nov 2, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?$500.00Nov 2, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill KT Rolster win LoL Worlds 2025?$98.99Nov 2, 05:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner$328.37Nov 2, 05:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?$500.00Nov 2, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)$4.5KNov 2, 05:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $394.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 1, 08:11 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 2, 07:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".