Outlying-Amnesty
0xc834dd1c9f37639f2cc53cd0ac1603bdfbeefd79
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will a candidate from another party win New Mexico Presidential Election?
155 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Maine Presidential Election?
150 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times October 4-11?
141 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Colorado Presidential Election?
122 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win North Carolina Governor Election?
115 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.12
- YES
Will Trump tweet 50 or more times October 4-11?
111 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 11, 2024$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will CeeDee Lamb win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
108 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will Elizabeth Warren win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will a candidate from another party win Nevada Presidential Election?
99 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2024$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will another team win Dota 2: PGL Wallachia 2024?
67 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2024$0.00
$-0.14
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill CeeDee Lamb win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$0.03Dec 16, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CeeDee Lamb win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$0.03Dec 16, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CeeDee Lamb win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$0.05Dec 16, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win North Carolina Governor Election?$0.06Nov 6, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win North Carolina Governor Election?$0.01Nov 5, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win North Carolina Governor Election?$0.05Nov 5, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Colorado Presidential Election?$0.12Nov 5, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win New Mexico Presidential Election?$0.15Nov 4, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Maine Presidential Election?$0.15Nov 2, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Nevada Presidential Election?$0.06Oct 31, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a candidate from another party win Nevada Presidential Election?$0.04Oct 31, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?$0.11Oct 27, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sevilla FC win La Liga?$0.13Oct 21, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lamine Yamal win the Ballon d’Or?$0.10Oct 20, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 325-349 times October 4-11?$0.12Oct 11, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 325-349 times October 4-11?$0.02Oct 11, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump tweet 50 or more times October 4-11?$0.11Oct 11, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elizabeth Warren win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.10Oct 11, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another team win Dota 2: PGL Wallachia 2024?$0.14Oct 11, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuela beat Argentina?$0.11Oct 11, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $82.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 23:48 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 16, 11:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".