Vigilant-Bronco
0xc8397bd6eea450f34e612831d565af3d84a6ccb9
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$4.97
Total PnL
$-77.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at $1.00-$2.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 17 – Aug 21?$4.95Aug 20, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?$45.00Jul 17, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 13 – Jul 17?$44.96Jul 12, 01:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $215 in June?$33.34Jun 30, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $215 in June?$6.93Jun 30, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $215 in June?$10.59Jun 30, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $215 in June?$8.68Jun 29, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $215 in June?$7.08Jun 29, 03:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4AM ET$25.11Jun 17, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4AM ET$25.01Jun 17, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?$77.61May 25, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on May 11?$29.00May 13, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on May 11?$19.97May 11, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on May 11?$8.97May 11, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?$55.00May 2, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $270 end of April?$71.89May 2, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $270 end of April?$71.75Apr 28, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?$54.95Apr 28, 01:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by March 31?$89.90Apr 14, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by March 31?$17.88Mar 24, 05:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $39.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 02:52 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 03:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.