Idealistic-Plume
0xc83e896ca9f6b257a462ab3c2ae1efd5c225ac22
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$366.00
Total PnL
$-99.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
200 shares @ 88.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$179.00
$3.00
- NO
World Cup: Ronaldo to Score 2+ Penalties?
100 shares @ 69.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$64.50
$-4.50
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
100 shares @ 62.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$62.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 31.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$46.50
$15.50
- NO
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 56.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$14.00
$-42.00
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?
100 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-23.00
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?
100 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-48.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup: Ronaldo to Score 2+ Penalties?$35.78Jun 13, 05:07 UTC
- REDEEMUnited States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5$40.00Jun 13, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUnited States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5$26.67Jun 13, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$23.00Jun 13, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Cup: Ronaldo to Score 2+ Penalties?$33.22Jun 13, 00:30 UTC
- REWARD$2.72Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$20.31Jun 12, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$2.19Jun 12, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$24.50Jun 12, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$0.96Jun 12, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$1.04Jun 12, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$86.00Jun 12, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?$3.10Jun 12, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?$9.30Jun 12, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?$9.30Jun 12, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?$9.30Jun 12, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?$9.30Jun 12, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?$9.30Jun 12, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?$3.10Jun 12, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?$3.10Jun 12, 16:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $20.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 23:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 05:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.