Timely-Willow
0xc83f1ee7d57d3e9b4ecbb4e5e6a8fa92d87b9f5e
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$5.17
Total PnL
$-352.68
Realised
$-29.70
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- RAVENS
Bengals vs. Ravens
5 shares @ 68.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2024$5.17
$1.61
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 6-7%?
2000 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-29.75
- YES
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during New York rally on October 27?
1723 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2024$0.00
$-116.97
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?
1651 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-44.34
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?
754 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-19.39
- YES
Will Trump say "tampon" during New York rally on October 27?
368 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2024$0.00
$-40.63
- YES
Will Trump say "Peanut" or "Squirrel" during North Carolina rally on Nov 3?
121 shares @ 27.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2024$0.00
$-33.50
- YES
Will Trump say "Teamster" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?
60 shares @ 67.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2024$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBengals vs. Ravens$0.56Nov 8, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBengals vs. Ravens$3.00Nov 8, 01:09 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 3-4%?$2.31Nov 8, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?$9.44Nov 6, 04:42 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?$31.53Nov 6, 04:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Republican win New York Presidential Election?$1.46Nov 6, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win New York Presidential Election?$11.82Nov 5, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peanut" or "Squirrel" during North Carolina rally on Nov 3?$24.00Nov 3, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLGOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?$24.00Nov 3, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Peanut" or "Squirrel" during North Carolina rally on Nov 3?$9.50Nov 3, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump wins every swing state?$9.50Nov 3, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win New York Presidential Election?$0.75Nov 3, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Teamster" during Wisconsin rally on Nov 1?$40.00Nov 2, 01:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$40.75Nov 2, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during New York rally on October 27?$0.44Oct 26, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during New York rally on October 27?$2.66Oct 26, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during New York rally on October 27?$113.88Oct 26, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "tampon" during New York rally on October 27?$28.63Oct 26, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?$9.02Oct 26, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYGOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?$1.51Oct 26, 22:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $13.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 24, 04:58 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 8, 01:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".