Improbable-Public
0xc841a05c01b5fe9bc0c8877cfd70f4b2774e1c76
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$39.91
Total PnL
$0.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on May 28?$9.97May 27, 22:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 28?$29.88May 27, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 24?$25.13May 24, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 24?$24.80May 24, 02:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 23?$19.93May 23, 23:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on May 23?$20.03May 23, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on May 23?$19.84May 23, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 23?$19.85May 22, 19:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 21?$19.99May 22, 00:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on May 21?$20.11May 21, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on May 21?$19.91May 21, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on May 21?$19.92May 20, 22:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on May 16?$24.97May 16, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C on May 16?$24.94May 15, 18:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C or higher on May 14?$14.99May 15, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C or higher on May 14?$14.96May 14, 09:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on May 12?$20.05May 13, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on May 12?$19.99May 13, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on May 12?$19.86May 12, 20:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on May 12?$19.96May 12, 20:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $19.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 20:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 22:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".