Lighthearted-Independent
0xc8461ff1941771f19ac5ca2ccee6d2d674569486
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
100
Open notional
$3.50
Total PnL
$-976.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 100- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 5.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.50
$-6.50
- YES
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
635 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-36.00
- YES
Will Georgia vs. Spain end in a draw?
455 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?
333 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-11-02?
298 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-43.00
- YES
Will G2 Esports win LoL Worlds 2025?
294 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Georgia win on 2025-11-15?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
209 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
206 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.65
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$15.00Feb 14, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$5.00Feb 14, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$5.00Feb 14, 10:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$16.53Feb 14, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$10.00Feb 14, 10:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel or the US target Tehran?$71.55Jan 23, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$10.00Jan 17, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel or the US target Tehran?$25.00Jan 14, 16:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?$35.71Jan 4, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SS Lazio vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?$10.00Jan 4, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?$10.00Jan 3, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?$10.00Jan 3, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?$10.00Jan 3, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hellas Verona FC vs. Torino FC end in a draw?$10.00Jan 3, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Internazionale Milano vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?$10.00Jan 3, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ACF Fiorentina vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?$10.00Jan 3, 21:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crystal Palace FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?$34.48Jan 3, 21:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?$37.04Jan 3, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Dec 31, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Dec 31, 09:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $10.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 9, 10:42 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 14, 10:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.