Alarming-Guide
0xc8489bba77ba91994c3d7539e93c0ca089c4dac0
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$274.74
Total PnL
$5.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
80 shares @ 92.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$78.76
$5.16
- NO
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
77 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$76.63
$1.24
- NO
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
66 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$65.00
$0.15
- NO
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
56 shares @ 98.4¢·now 97.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$54.35
$-0.72
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?$24.76May 23, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?$24.76May 23, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?$30.35May 23, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?$64.88May 23, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?$50.71May 23, 03:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 17?$197.00May 21, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on May 17?$196.63May 16, 14:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 7, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$73.60May 6, 02:19 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$136.00May 6, 02:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?$68.69May 6, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$66.05May 6, 02:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 6, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $74.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 00:29 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 03:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".