Wallet digest

active

Activity score

46/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

200

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-3.5K

Realised

$-70.55

Win rate

40%

83 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 200

UP
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
95 shares @ 29.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026
$0.00
$-27.62
UP
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
83 shares @ 25.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026
$0.00
$-21.35
DOWN
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
67 shares @ 69.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026
$0.00
$-46.60
UP
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
65 shares @ 55.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026
$0.00
$-36.38
UP
Solana Up or Down - July 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
60 shares @ 79.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026
$0.00
$-47.56
UP
Solana Up or Down - July 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
60 shares @ 71.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026
$0.00
$-43.08
DOWN
Solana Up or Down - July 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
59 shares @ 59.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026
$0.00
$-35.20
DOWN
Solana Up or Down - July 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
59 shares @ 60.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026
$0.00
$-35.80
DOWN
Solana Up or Down - July 18, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
57 shares @ 47.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026
$0.00
$-27.22
UP
Solana Up or Down - July 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
54 shares @ 74.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2026
$0.00
$-40.24

Recent activity

TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - August 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$0.53Aug 1, 12:47 UTC
TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - August 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$1.63Aug 1, 12:47 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$3.88Aug 1, 12:47 UTC
TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - August 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$1.65Aug 1, 12:47 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$1.72Aug 1, 12:47 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$0.41Aug 1, 12:47 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$4.29Aug 1, 12:46 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$2.48Aug 1, 12:46 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$2.23Aug 1, 12:46 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$0.88Aug 1, 12:46 UTC
REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$9.00Aug 1, 12:46 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$0.06Aug 1, 12:44 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$7.86Aug 1, 12:44 UTC
TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - August 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$0.63Aug 1, 12:44 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$3.59Aug 1, 12:41 UTC
REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$7.16Aug 1, 12:40 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$6.66Aug 1, 12:38 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$3.84Aug 1, 12:37 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$3.35Aug 1, 12:37 UTC
TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$1.50Aug 1, 12:36 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Wallet edge sanity

Attention signal

64/100

read-only

Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

40% win rate over 83 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

29/100

no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal

pass

41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.

Resolved-only track record

pass

83 closed markets, 40% win rate.

Cost / slippage

missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk

missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity

missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation

missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution

missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity71 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence100 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry67 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk25 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 41
Avg trade size: $3.50
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Aug 1, 12:01 UTC
Last active: Aug 1, 12:47 UTC
Win rate sample: 83 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 12:48:36 UTC·src:Polymarket Data