Complex-Hovel
0xc8644d9a62d9c7285c13bcfa281c9c9415390a81
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$3.18
Total PnL
$-255.97
Realised
$0.37
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.18
$1.18
- NO
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?
13708 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-39.99
- YES
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
5347 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-52.53
- YES
Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026?
211 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
154 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
126 shares @ 15.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?
111 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- COLTS
Colts vs. Seahawks
54 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYColts vs. Seahawks$7.00Dec 13, 00:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?$7.50Dec 13, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYCardinals vs. Seahawks$5.00Nov 9, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Commanders$5.00Nov 2, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMOle Miss vs. Georgia$9.09Nov 2, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTexans vs. Seahawks$5.00Oct 18, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYOle Miss vs. Georgia$3.00Oct 18, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?$20.00Oct 15, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Issa Tchiroma Bakary win the Cameroon Presidential Election?$5.00Oct 15, 22:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hostage" 5+ times during Egypt summit?$11.81Oct 15, 22:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Carlos Moedas be elected Mayor of Lisbon?$22.18Oct 15, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hostage" 5+ times during Egypt summit?$8.15Oct 13, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran before 2026?$5.00Oct 13, 10:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$4.02Oct 12, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emeka Egbuka be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year?$5.00Oct 12, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?$14.14Oct 12, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Moedas be elected Mayor of Lisbon?$18.35Oct 12, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Soverel win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$3.00Oct 12, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$1.00Oct 12, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMUAB Blazers vs. Florida Atlantic$22.35Oct 12, 15:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $9.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 13:23 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 13, 00:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.