Ample-Manservant
0xc86554c6dcaacf6bc83031ac362b2951b75ede73
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-48.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 11?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "ICE" during Mamdani events on November 21?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during the Brian Kilmeade Show on November 21?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?
51 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - November 22, 1AM ET
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Grocery" during Mamdani events on November 21?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.96
- YES
Will Trump say "Mamdani" or "AOC" during the Brian Kilmeade Show on November 21?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
19 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-9.84
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$8.89Jan 13, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$9.70Jan 13, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$10.00Jan 13, 14:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$10.53Jan 13, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$10.00Jan 11, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$10.00Jan 11, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$10.00Jan 11, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$10.00Jan 11, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$10.00Jan 11, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - January 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$5.00Jan 11, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?$20.00Jan 11, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 11?$5.00Jan 11, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$7.24Nov 24, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$7.24Nov 24, 18:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$6.27Nov 24, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$4.00Nov 24, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - November 22, 1AM ET$1.00Nov 22, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during the Brian Kilmeade Show on November 21?$1.00Nov 21, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "President Xi" during the Brian Kilmeade Show on November 21?$1.00Nov 21, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Grocery" during Mamdani events on November 21?$1.00Nov 21, 21:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $5.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 21, 13:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 13, 14:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".