Lighthearted-Temporary
0xc86c7249954df799decb668b84ecc40be1e519b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$144.12
Total PnL
$-4.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
88 shares @ 96.7¢·now 97.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$85.31
$0.31
- NO
Will Lazarus Chakwera win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?
13 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$13.48
$1.48
- NO
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?
9 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$8.97
$-0.03
- NO
2025 September hottest on record?
8 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$8.01
$0.01
- YES
Will ANO form a government after Czech election ?
7 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$7.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
6 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$6.07
$0.07
- YES
Will Snowflake say "Retention" during earnings call?
5 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$5.14
$0.14
- NO
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Van Epps win TN-07 by 20% or more?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$5.00
$0.01
- YES
Will Trump lower tariffs on Mexico by December 31?
8 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 20, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 19, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$5.02May 18, 10:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $5.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 6, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".