Nervous-Bicycle
0xc86ff8ea1cee87af06d5aed981bba5a3cf61f86a
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
121
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-521.30
Realised
$331.36
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 121- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
34200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-34.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
34190 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-34.19
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
1667 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
734 shares @ 57.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-419.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
455 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-9.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
149 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-40.44
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
108 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-24.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
94 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
94 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
94 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$1.14Apr 5, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$0.95Apr 5, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$0.95Apr 5, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$1.10Apr 5, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$1.10Apr 5, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$1.10Apr 5, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$1.10Apr 5, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$1.10Apr 5, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$1.32Apr 5, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$1.10Apr 5, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$1.32Apr 5, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$1.25Apr 5, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$1.25Apr 5, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$1.30Apr 5, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$1.30Apr 5, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$1.30Apr 5, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$1.30Apr 5, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$1.30Apr 5, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$1.04Apr 5, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$1.04Apr 5, 07:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 5, 07:15 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 5, 07:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".