Accomplished-Granny
0xc8769416b054a6dfbaad14cb38309effc79b8711
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-79.43
Realised
$172.66
Win rate
93%
40 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 5?
2018 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.19
- NO
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
1920 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.52
- NO
Will Keri Russell win Best Actress in a Drama Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?
1912 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- UNDER
SK Slavia Praha vs. FK Jablonec: O/U 1.5
1912 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.62
- NO
Bitcoin above 67,800 on April 6, 5PM ET?
1896 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.76
- NO
Will Cameron Young finish as leader after Round 3?
1861 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- OVER
Smith vs. Johns: Match O/U 23.5
1462 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.46
- OVER
Smith vs. Johns: Match O/U 21.5
1462 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.46
- UNDER
Rocha vs. Sakamoto: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
1424 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.42
- OVER
Catry vs. Hayen: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
1421 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Apple say "Roadmap" during earnings call?$0.12Jul 28, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs High-Tech Xtreme (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group D$0.03Jul 28, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: BET-M 33 vs High-Tech Xtreme (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group D$0.03Jul 28, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $750 Week of July 27 2026?$0.23Jul 28, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $750 Week of July 27 2026?$4.40Jul 28, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $750 Week of July 27 2026?$0.00Jul 28, 14:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $750 Week of July 27 2026?$0.34Jul 28, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 28?$2.98Jul 28, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYAmazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 28?$0.50Jul 28, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYClub Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$0.43Jul 28, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYClub Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$0.03Jul 28, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYClub Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$0.10Jul 28, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 29?$0.11Jul 28, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on July 30?$0.07Jul 28, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on July 30?$0.15Jul 28, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: RoundsGG vs BC.Game Esports (BO1) - Elisa BreakOut Series #1 Group B$0.58Jul 28, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYClub Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: Atlas FC O/U 2.5 Corners$0.46Jul 28, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYClub Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: Atlas FC O/U 2.5 Corners$0.05Jul 28, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYClub Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: Atlas FC O/U 2.5 Corners$0.05Jul 28, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYClub Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC: O/U 11.5 Total Corners$0.02Jul 28, 12:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
75/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
93% win rate over 40 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 21/100.
40 closed markets, 93% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 07:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 15:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 40 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.