Misguided-Tracking
0xc877a2d6a2bf40a5402093fabcf11dc7e7c20334
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$30.55
Total PnL
$-225.30
Realised
$3.44
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
30 shares @ 6.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$30.00
$27.96
- YES
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.55
$-0.05
- PEPPERDINE WAVES
Saint Mary's Gaels vs. Pepperdine Waves
202 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?
201 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 9AM ET
140 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- MAGIC
Magic vs. Raptors
128 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-111.36
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 9PM ET
120 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- TENNESSEE TECH GOLDEN EAGLES
Tennessee State Tigers vs. Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
119 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- STANFORD CARDINAL
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Stanford Cardinal
113 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 10PM ET
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 2, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$1.00Jan 2, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 70%?$2.20Jan 2, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$1.00Jan 2, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?$0.34Jan 1, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?$1.70Jan 1, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 12AM ET$2.00Dec 31, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYNevada Wolf Pack vs. Colorado State Rams$1.00Dec 31, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYNevada Wolf Pack vs. Colorado State Rams$1.00Dec 31, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYButler Bulldogs vs. Creighton Bluejays$4.00Dec 31, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYTennessee State Tigers vs. Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles$1.00Dec 31, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWashington State Cougars vs. Seattle Redhawks$5.00Dec 31, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSanta Clara Broncos vs. Portland Pilots$5.00Dec 31, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUtah State Aggies vs. Fresno State Bulldogs$3.00Dec 31, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSaint Mary's Gaels vs. Pepperdine Waves$1.00Dec 31, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Hampshire Wildcats vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers$1.00Dec 31, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYNotre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Stanford Cardinal$5.00Dec 31, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYButler Bulldogs vs. Creighton Bluejays$7.60Dec 31, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYTennessee State Tigers vs. Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles$3.00Dec 31, 03:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill edgeX launch a token in 2025?$8.15Dec 30, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill edgeX launch a token in 2025?$8.08Dec 30, 14:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $13.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 29, 02:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 2, 11:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".