Thorny-Dial
0xc87db851414a15ba2bd13d29006f1960451dc339
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$2.93
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
189 shares @ 4.1¢·now 1.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.93
$-4.88
- YES
Fight to Go the Distance?
924 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-240.32
- NO
Will Leavitt say "Hormuz" during the next White House Press Briefing?
689 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-172.33
- UNDER
Czechia vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 3.5
627 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026$0.00
$-457.35
- YES
Exact Score: Angers SCO 1 - 3 Olympique Lyonnais?
542 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-54.24
- TELSTAR 1963
Spread: FC Groningen (-1.5)
386 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-305.01
- OVER
Llaneros FC vs. Jaguares de Córdoba FC: O/U 3.5
318 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-82.63
- YES
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 16 above $205?
279 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-8.36
- YES
Will Ham Ye-jin make a final pair in Single's Inferno: Season 5?
271 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-9.76
- YES
Will Coventry City FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?
262 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-36.63
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpread: Yokohama F·Marinos (-1.5)$452.95Apr 18, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Yokohama F·Marinos (-1.5)$371.42Apr 13, 06:02 UTC
- REDEEMClub Santos Laguna vs. CF América: O/U 1.5$473.36Apr 8, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: FC Groningen (-1.5)$305.01Mar 31, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYClub Santos Laguna vs. CF América: O/U 1.5$364.49Mar 31, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Angers SCO 1 - 3 Olympique Lyonnais?$54.24Mar 30, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) close at $195-$200 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?$687.35Mar 30, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYFight to Go the Distance?$240.32Mar 25, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "Hormuz" during the next White House Press Briefing?$172.33Mar 24, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close at $195-$200 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?$96.23Mar 24, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) close at $110-$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?$12.73Mar 23, 05:35 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)$389.66Mar 23, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYCzechia vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 3.5$457.35Mar 22, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMFC Famalicão vs. CD Nacional: O/U 4.5$575.62Mar 22, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYFC Famalicão vs. CD Nacional: O/U 4.5$466.25Mar 17, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on March 5?$356.81Mar 15, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Investigation of Lucy Letby" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$102.49Mar 14, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Atalanta BC (-2.5)$300.04Mar 14, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coventry City FC vs. Preston North End FC end in a draw?$36.63Mar 7, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYLlaneros FC vs. Jaguares de Córdoba FC: O/U 3.5$82.63Mar 6, 09:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $170.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 14, 02:01 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 10:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".