Lovable-Timeout
0xc87e768fcc8c5e3e69527a03c95540483b311073
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.1K
Realised
$-434.24
Win rate
43%
74 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?
237 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-118.74
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?
237 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-118.74
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?
237 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-118.73
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?
195 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-97.71
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?
194 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-97.17
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?
130 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-65.21
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?
130 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-65.21
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?
130 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-65.21
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?
130 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-65.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21? AND Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22? AND Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23? AND Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23? AND Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24?$1.00Aug 20, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brentford FC (-1.5) AND Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5) AND Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5) AND Spread: Everton FC (-1.5) AND Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21? AND Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22? AND Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?$1.00Aug 20, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNewcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score$1.02Aug 20, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?$1.02Aug 20, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score$1.02Aug 20, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score$1.02Aug 20, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYNottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score$1.02Aug 20, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEverton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5$1.02Aug 20, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?$1.01Aug 20, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYNewcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score AND Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5 AND Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score AND Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score AND Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score AND Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23? AND Will Fulham FC win on 2026-08-24?$2.00Aug 20, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims) AND UFC 330: Eric McConico vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Early Prelims) AND UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims) AND UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) AND UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)$1.00Aug 14, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Group A AND Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage$1.00Aug 14, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Group A AND Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Group A AND Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Group D$1.00Aug 14, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Ins AND LoL: Uwinks vs L Guide Gaming (BO5) - LJL Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Ground Zero (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #6 Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Mindfreak (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #6 Playoffs$1.00Aug 11, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs OG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins AND Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs ENCE Prospects (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C AND Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Ins AND Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs fnatic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins AND Counter-Strike: ECHO vs GenOne (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins$1.00Aug 9, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Sinners vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Play-Ins AND Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs EAC Rising (BO3) - United21 Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Prospect vs ENCE Prospects (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C AND LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group AND Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Ins$1.00Aug 9, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21? AND Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?$1.00Aug 9, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: PlayTime vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future Playoffs AND Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs AND Hagen: Thiago Monteiro vs Tom Gentzsch AND Hagen: Lorenzo Giustino vs Vitaliy Sachko AND LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier AND LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group AND Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Takuya Kumasaka$1.00Aug 4, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs G2 Ares (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group A AND LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend AND Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Playoffs AND Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffs AND Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Amaru Gaming (BO3) - Games of the Future Group A$1.00Jul 31, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-01? AND Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-01? AND Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31? AND Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-01?$1.00Jul 30, 22:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
65/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
43% win rate over 74 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
74 closed markets, 43% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 21:24 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 13:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 74 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.