Writhing-Vision
0xc88200ae64f7e893fa683a42cac2b92060db0662
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
98
Open notional
$342.73
Total PnL
$-7.2K
Realised
$-6.97
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 98- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 1?
500 shares @ 52.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$342.48
$82.56
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 7PM ET
500 shares @ 51.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.25
$-257.62
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5PM ET
1200 shares @ 53.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-646.67
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
800 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-431.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4PM ET
650 shares @ 53.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-347.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 31?
500 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-259.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3PM ET
440 shares @ 50.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-222.78
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 10AM ET
421 shares @ 54.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-229.68
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
420 shares @ 54.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-229.23
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
400 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-204.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6PM ET$1.2KJul 31, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$50.00Jul 31, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$26.37Jul 31, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 7PM ET$266.61Jul 31, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6PM ET$115.45Jul 31, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6PM ET$114.47Jul 31, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6PM ET$0.23Jul 31, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6PM ET$334.43Jul 31, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$26.37Jul 31, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6PM ET$1.13Jul 31, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6PM ET$43.69Jul 31, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$26.57Jul 31, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$50.00Jul 31, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 6PM ET$62.16Jul 31, 21:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$100.00Jul 31, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$26.37Jul 31, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$52.75Jul 31, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$220.00Jul 31, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$47.58Jul 31, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5PM ET$44.56Jul 31, 21:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
25/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $56.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 31, 19:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 23:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.