Shady-Auditorium
0xc88adcf407a63baa2e470998c24f6fc0d1867e26
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$181.09
Realised
$404.64
Win rate
98%
57 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 36°C on April 16?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
AJ Auxerre vs. OGC Nice: Draw at halftime?
1884 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
IR Iran leading at halftime?
1738 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- NO
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals - Most Sixes Rajasthan Royals Winner
1682 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.68
- NO
T20 Kalahari Tournament, Women: Botswana vs Malawi - Toss Match Double Draw
1619 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-3.27
- TIM VAISMAN
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Simeon Stankovic vs Tim Vaisman
1545 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.55
- YES
Will Nebraska advance to the Quarterfinals?
1489 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.44
- NO
Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the top AI model on April 24, 2026 (Style Control On)?
1473 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
- NO
Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for Apr 27–May 3, 2026?
1414 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UNDER
Topo vs. Krumich: Match O/U 22.5
1413 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.41
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on July 28?$0.10Jul 28, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYHang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on July 28?$0.28Jul 28, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYHang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on July 28?$0.06Jul 28, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYHang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on July 28?$0.10Jul 28, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYHang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on July 28?$0.66Jul 28, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLHang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on July 28?$7.23Jul 28, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYHang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on July 28?$0.42Jul 28, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on July 28?$0.44Jul 28, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLHang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on July 28?$0.90Jul 28, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYHang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on July 28?$0.72Jul 28, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon post "Tesla" on X this week?$0.20Jul 28, 02:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alesa Mengesha be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?$0.01Jul 27, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.95 on July 27?$0.00Jul 27, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream$0.02Jul 27, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - July 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$0.00Jul 27, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - July 27, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$0.00Jul 27, 12:36 UTC
- TRADESELLGimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners$17.54Jul 27, 09:56 UTC
- TRADESELLGimcheon Sangmu FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners$10.97Jul 27, 09:56 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: VfB eSports vs G2 NORD (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group B$0.28Jul 27, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner$6.35Jul 27, 07:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
74/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
98% win rate over 57 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
57 closed markets, 98% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 15:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 07:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 57 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.