Orange-Turtle
0xc88b137dca45f1e5225eabdea79fb77496e78941
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$115.48
Total PnL
$-173.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?
115 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$115.48
$28.87
- YES
Zelenskyy impeached before July?
278 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?
233 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-35.60
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
110 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
90 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?
59 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Fed abolished in 2025?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
31 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2025?
26 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?
8 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?$86.61Feb 25, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$100.00Feb 25, 18:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?$22.22Feb 25, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?$69.01Feb 25, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?$20.00Aug 20, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$10.00Aug 20, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$0.00Jun 18, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$0.00Jun 18, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?$0.00Apr 6, 23:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Auburn win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?$0.00Apr 6, 23:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tennessee win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?$0.00Apr 5, 01:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kentucky win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?$0.00Apr 5, 01:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michigan win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?$0.00Apr 5, 01:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Illinois win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?$0.00Apr 5, 01:02 UTC
- REDEEM300+ Measles cases in U.S. before April?$0.00Mar 19, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed abolished in 2025?$2.00Mar 8, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Friday?$0.05Mar 8, 00:07 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$18.51Mar 8, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $84,000 on March 7?$22.73Mar 8, 00:04 UTC
- TRADESELLGold missing from Fort Knox?$14.28Mar 5, 10:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $14.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 19:18 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 25, 18:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.