Secondary-Substitution
0xc8981ffa09250366e4403fdfa6936f540cf03c31
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-19.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?
1000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times April 11–18?
895 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2025$0.00
$-4.25
- YES
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times April 11–18?
263 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 11–18?
46 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 175–199 times April 11–18?$5.52Apr 18, 11:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another coalition form the next German Government?$0.37Apr 18, 11:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?$5.15Apr 18, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 200–224 times April 11–18?$2.00Apr 17, 16:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another coalition form the next German Government?$2.00Apr 17, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 225–249 times April 11–18?$1.75Apr 17, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 200–224 times April 11–18?$4.00Apr 17, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 225–249 times April 11–18?$2.50Apr 17, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU, SPD, and Greens form the next German Government?$4.00Apr 17, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?$11.63Apr 17, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another coalition form the next German Government?$2.96Apr 16, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?$26.39Apr 16, 18:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $5.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 18:50 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 11:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".