Tense-Observatory
0xc89a491261e86e462fbab63023e457868ab75963
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$5.41
Total PnL
$-443.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.41
$0.41
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
271 shares @ 32.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-89.05
- UP
XRP Up or Down - December 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
216 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-110.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
190 shares @ 46.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-88.81
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
151 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-78.75
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
141 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-71.86
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
18 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$5.04May 19, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$9.16May 19, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$10.00Apr 15, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$73.00Feb 9, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$80.00Feb 9, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$10.00Feb 9, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$7.00Feb 9, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$3.10Feb 9, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$80.00Feb 9, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$80.00Feb 9, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$5.00Feb 9, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel join the Board of Peace?$15.08Feb 9, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel join the Board of Peace?$15.00Jan 21, 06:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill A$AP Rocky release an album in 2026?$12.00Jan 21, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A$AP Rocky release an album in 2026?$11.96Dec 26, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$110.00Dec 26, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 14?$21.67Dec 26, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 14?$21.13Nov 14, 07:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill “A House of Dynamite” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 4 2025)$14.03Nov 14, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill “A House of Dynamite” be the top global Netflix movie this week? (November 4 2025)$14.00Nov 4, 07:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $47.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 25, 10:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 04:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".