Surprised-Bibliography
0xc89b05f2367133f90043d4387f261b90fbeb7807
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-299.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- YES
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 7?
4139 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 7?
3645 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - November 8, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 8, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 4?
611 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
510 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
357 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 19?$5.00Jan 19, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$10.00Jan 10, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by January 31?$5.00Jan 10, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?$5.00Jan 10, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 3?$5.00Jan 3, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill edgeX launch a token in 2025?$10.00Jan 1, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?$5.00Dec 29, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMGemini 3.0 Flash released by December 15?$23.81Dec 27, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 7?$5.00Dec 7, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 7?$5.00Dec 7, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$5.00Dec 7, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,300 by December 31?$5.00Dec 1, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$5.00Nov 29, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$5.00Nov 28, 14:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$0.00Nov 28, 14:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$0.00Nov 28, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$0.00Nov 28, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$10.00Nov 24, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$10.00Nov 24, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$5.00Nov 21, 14:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $8.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 10, 13:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 19, 05:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".