Jumbo-Gunpowder
0xc8a3e0686dc9ac5216aaf6ac157e3e084a255ada
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-430.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will "KPop Demon Hunters" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
365 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-73.39
- NO
Nicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
New X CEO announced by July 31?
227 shares @ 49.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-112.14
- DOWN
Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on November 24?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will "Predator: Badlands" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 26m?
100 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- SMART
Will the winner of Beast Games: Season 2 be Strong or Smart?
100 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
87 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-46.97
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?
70 shares @ 98.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-68.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 12AM ET
57 shares @ 41.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-24.00
- NO
Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "KPop Demon Hunters" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$73.39Mar 25, 00:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$73.39Mar 24, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$72.22Mar 19, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$72.22Mar 18, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$67.58Mar 5, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLVenezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026?$1.60Jan 15, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?$12.00Jan 15, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$35.70Jan 15, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?$17.75Jan 11, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the winner of Beast Games: Season 2 be Strong or Smart?$24.00Jan 8, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$11.04Jan 8, 02:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?$20.00Jan 8, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Run Away" be the top global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)$17.16Jan 8, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$46.97Jan 8, 01:46 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro mugshot released by Monday?$76.39Jan 7, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?$69.50Jan 4, 01:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by Monday?$24.97Jan 3, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro mugshot released by Monday?$9.20Jan 3, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYVenezuela election scheduled by January 31, 2026?$13.00Jan 3, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro seen in public by January 5?$5.00Jan 3, 23:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $27.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 19:50 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 25, 00:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".