Exalted-Surgery
0xc8a8eca891bb2be148473c3eba48dff3cd827add
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?
29855 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 18, 2026?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on January 12?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$189.69Apr 8, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$84.12Apr 8, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$87.95Feb 1, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$4.54Jan 31, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLZhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?$4.17Jan 31, 09:04 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$0.38Jan 31, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYZhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?$4.09Jan 29, 08:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?$1.13Jan 29, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?$1.00Jan 27, 11:44 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?$1.95Jan 27, 11:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$0.87Jan 27, 11:13 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$0.05Jan 23, 16:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?$1.13Jan 23, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$83.41Jan 23, 04:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Phạm Minh Chính be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$83.41Jan 23, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?$57.00Jan 22, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Phạm Minh Chính be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$83.00Jan 22, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?$1.00Jan 21, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?$20.00Jan 20, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?$10.00Jan 20, 20:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $11.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 19:39 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 02:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.