Alarmed-Mean
0xc8ae5aa8fdae72f476d4075bb5bbd9a0685a465f
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
110
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$12.15
Win rate
58%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 110- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 19?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the US strike Yemen next?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 22, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
901 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-96.77
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
600 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-22.21
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
461 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
415 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-59.38
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
343 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
333 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - January 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
321 shares @ 10.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-32.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1.00Apr 30, 18:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$6.14Apr 30, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$5.27Apr 30, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$5.00Apr 14, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$1.00Apr 14, 15:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$2.35Apr 8, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$5.00Apr 8, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$5.00Mar 31, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$1.68Mar 18, 18:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$1.17Mar 18, 18:22 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$3.93Mar 18, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$5.10Mar 18, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$5.00Mar 18, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$0.67Mar 18, 18:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$17.07Mar 18, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$1.00Mar 18, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$1.01Mar 18, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$1.34Mar 18, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$2.31Mar 18, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$7.68Mar 18, 18:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 9, 12:48 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 18:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".