Troubled-Site
0xc8ae6d64f20bc29aafec28a745168e5d29d03e95
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$4.84
Total PnL
$-24.86
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Dogecoin above $0.31 on January 3?
2 shares @ 96.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2025$2.08
$0.08
- NO
Will someone else be inaugurated?
2 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$1.54
$0.04
- NO
Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?
1 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2024$1.22
$0.02
- YES
Elon Musk citizenship revoked before inauguration?
131 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?
25 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?
20 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $4,200.00 in December?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
9 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Ethereum all time high by March 31?
7 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on March 31?$2.00Mar 3, 04:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?$2.33Mar 3, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$8.31Mar 3, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk citizenship revoked before inauguration?$1.00Jan 2, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 27-Jan 3?$1.00Jan 2, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?$2.00Jan 2, 13:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin above $0.31 on January 3?$2.00Jan 2, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high by March 31?$2.00Jan 2, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?$5.00Jan 2, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?$5.00Jan 2, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$5.00Jan 2, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?$1.00Jan 2, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?$1.00Jan 2, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$1.00Jan 2, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?$30.00Jan 2, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?$8.95Dec 23, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill someone else be inaugurated?$1.50Dec 23, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$1.20Dec 23, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$8.00Dec 23, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $4,200.00 in December?$1.00Dec 23, 03:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $3.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 03:26 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 04:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".