Brilliant-Bolero
0xc8b4f93b59b80cc7cbf249485aa440d61285c491
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-51.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 30?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on December 30?
4998 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 6?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 6?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will H win the second most seats in the Norway election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on December 30?
904 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet between 510 and 539 times August 29–September 5?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Ethereum above $4000 on August 29?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Bitcoin above $106K on August 29?
46 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on January 9?$4.01Jan 12, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on January 9?$6.52Jan 12, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on January 9?$20.40Jan 12, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,900 January 5-11?$1.00Jan 9, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $3,000 January 5-11?$5.00Jan 9, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on January 9?$3.00Jan 9, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on January 9?$5.00Jan 9, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on January 9?$4.00Jan 9, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on January 9?$20.00Jan 9, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $3,100 January 5-11?$5.77Jan 9, 12:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on January 6?$10.00Jan 9, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 6?$2.00Jan 6, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 3°C on January 6?$1.00Jan 6, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on January 6?$1.00Jan 6, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 6?$1.00Jan 6, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 6?$1.00Jan 6, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on January 6?$2.00Jan 6, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,400 January 5-11?$4.00Jan 6, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $3,100 January 5-11?$3.00Jan 6, 12:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,100 December 29-January 4?$7.55Jan 6, 12:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $23.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 9, 10:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 12, 07:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.