Tan-Stage
0xc8b7d811fcee26b6933717309cfa7f7c6bcf5010
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$20.83
Total PnL
$-195.49
Realised
$-11.62
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
TikTok sale announced in 2025?
21 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$20.83
$10.83
- YES
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
148 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will there be 2-4 inches of snow in NYC in Jan?
111 shares @ 67.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- NO
OpenAI browser by October 31?
69 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-18.94
- YES
Obama divorce in 2025?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
50 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.76
- NO
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
49 shares @ 30.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 21 at 5PM ET?
31 shares @ 81.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 17?
15 shares @ 67.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will ICE detain 800+ people on February 1?
10 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.41Nov 11, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?$5.00Oct 30, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.07Oct 30, 00:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump strike a drug boat on October 28?$0.17Oct 30, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump strike a drug boat on October 28?$2.00Oct 28, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYTikTok sale announced in 2025?$10.00Oct 26, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$10.00Oct 24, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?$10.00Oct 23, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$10.00Oct 23, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump attend the 2025 MLB World Series Finals?$35.75Oct 23, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI browser in 2025?$0.08Oct 21, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI browser by October 31?$0.82Oct 21, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser by October 31?$3.00Oct 21, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser by October 31?$5.00Oct 21, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 20?$3.00Oct 20, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYNVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on October 17?$10.00Oct 17, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.59Oct 17, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$4.90Oct 17, 04:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$10.29Oct 17, 04:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend the 2025 MLB World Series Finals?$4.16Oct 14, 03:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $10.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 00:33 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 11, 03:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".