Spiffy-Hacksaw
0xc8b84148a1d96df28366098926ed74c10485e577
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-35.02
Realised
$2.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
103 shares @ 9.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
74 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.15
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
42 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
25 shares @ 31.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
14 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
12 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
10 shares @ 41.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$2.17Jun 30, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.04Jun 30, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$2.13Jun 30, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$2.11Jun 30, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$2.09Jun 30, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$2.07Jun 30, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$2.18Jun 30, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$2.13Jun 30, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$2.11Jun 30, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$2.10Jun 30, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$2.10Jun 30, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$2.07Jun 30, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$2.14Jun 30, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$2.25Jun 30, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$2.12Jun 30, 20:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$4.03Jun 30, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$2.10Jun 30, 20:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$2.45Jun 30, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$2.05Jun 30, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$3.28Jun 30, 20:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $2.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 19:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 23:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.