0xc8c20a99ea04f350ce197f6e856f136765118b8a
0xc8c20a99ea04f350ce197f6e856f136765118b8a
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$3.37
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-53.24
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 17?
11 shares @ 30.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$3.37
$0.16
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 18?
2485 shares @ 35.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-893.29
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 19?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 13?
500 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$0.00
$-94.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3AM ET
160 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-96.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1AM ET
134 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.66
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
116 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.11
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6PM ET
110 shares @ 28.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-31.20
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 22?
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 20?
100 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 17?$1.71Jul 13, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 17?$1.57Jul 13, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 13?$0.37Jul 13, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 13?$56.40Jul 13, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 13?$3.38Jul 13, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 13?$1.13Jul 13, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 13?$1.50Jul 13, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 13?$1.13Jul 13, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 13?$1.32Jul 13, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 13?$3.57Jul 13, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 13?$3.38Jul 13, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 13?$3.01Jul 13, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 13?$1.88Jul 13, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 13?$0.56Jul 13, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 13?$2.07Jul 13, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 13?$1.13Jul 13, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 13?$3.01Jul 13, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 13?$0.95Jul 13, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 13?$9.74Jul 13, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$5.95Jun 21, 07:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $70.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 16:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 13:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.