Wallet digest

active

Activity score

48/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$2.09

Total PnL

$-83.11

Realised

$1.10

Win rate

33%

3 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 42

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026
$2.09
$1.11
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
44 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025
$0.00
$-2.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
35 shares @ 58.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025
$0.00
$-20.20
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
26 shares @ 27.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025
$0.00
$-7.10
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 16, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
19 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025
$0.00
$-4.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025
$0.00
$-2.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
16 shares @ 18.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025
$0.00
$-3.00
UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
10 shares @ 20.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2025
$0.00
$-2.00

Recent activity

REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1.09Mar 28, 14:25 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$2.01Mar 28, 14:25 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$1.00Mar 28, 14:24 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$1.00Mar 28, 14:19 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.00Mar 28, 14:18 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.07Mar 28, 14:15 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$1.11Mar 28, 14:15 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$2.01Mar 28, 14:15 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.00Mar 28, 14:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1.00Mar 28, 14:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$1.00Mar 28, 14:08 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET$1.00Mar 28, 14:02 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$1.00Mar 28, 14:02 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$1.05Mar 28, 13:58 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.86Mar 28, 13:58 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$2.35Mar 28, 13:58 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$1.00Mar 28, 13:57 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.00Mar 28, 13:57 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$1.00Mar 28, 13:53 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$1.00Mar 28, 13:52 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity39 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence10 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry76 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk69 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 34
Avg trade size: $2.63
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Jan 13, 10:33 UTC
Last active: Mar 28, 14:25 UTC
Win rate sample: 3 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 16:33:32 UTC·src:Polymarket Data