Appropriate-Apartment
0xc8d670dd8ae30f36b640026e4a52da2a749634d9
Wallet digest
Activity score
42/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$7.23
Total PnL
$-14.26
Realised
$-4.00
Win rate
7%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 15?
5 shares @ 35.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$3.10
$1.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 16?
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$2.03
$0.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 15?
5 shares @ 32.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$1.77
$0.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 16?
5 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Aug 16, 2026$0.33
$-0.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on June 14?
40 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 39°C on June 14?
40 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.04
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on July 20?
17 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on July 22?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on July 21?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 16?$2.06Aug 14, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 16?$0.35Aug 14, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 15?$1.60Aug 13, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 15?$1.75Aug 13, 07:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 13?$0.46Aug 12, 05:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 12?$0.72Aug 12, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 12?$1.02Aug 11, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 13?$1.23Aug 11, 09:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 11?$1.39Aug 11, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 11?$1.24Aug 11, 02:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 10?$0.29Aug 10, 11:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 10?$1.13Aug 10, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 10?$1.23Aug 10, 10:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 10?$0.29Aug 10, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 11?$1.71Aug 10, 07:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 11?$0.96Aug 10, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 12?$1.19Aug 10, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 11?$1.23Aug 10, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 11?$1.04Aug 10, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 10?$1.23Aug 10, 04:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
38/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
7% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 7, 02:18 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 11:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.