Able-Appliance
0xc8d6853bd8fe6fc2e18c57b572c28158305f21ca
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
113
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$33.59
Win rate
86%
28 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 113- YES
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
2750 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-134.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
2500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
719 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
591 shares @ 25.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
573 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
428 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
394 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
383 shares @ 39.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$7.36Jul 29, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$7.12Jul 29, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$7.48Jul 29, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$15.69Jul 29, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$15.72Jul 29, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$15.74Jul 29, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$30.28Jul 29, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$15.54Jul 29, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$15.31Jul 29, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$30.46Jul 14, 01:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$27.48Jul 14, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$10.14Jul 14, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$5.13Jul 14, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$5.10Jul 14, 01:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$0.00Jul 14, 01:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$21.93Jul 14, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$5.12Jul 14, 01:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$5.12Jul 14, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$5.11Jul 14, 01:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$0.00Jul 14, 01:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
86% win rate over 28 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
28 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $6.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 01:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 01:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 28 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.