Vital-Pancake
0xc8e21e0128be763c1d99255fe59ba6fd8f4cde92
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.9K
Realised
$-746.78
Win rate
46%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
2302 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
2284 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-867.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
1980 shares @ 70.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
1819 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-146.72
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
1663 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-315.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
1200 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-240.08
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
889 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-51.15
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
686 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-137.26
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
540 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-253.83
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
522 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-109.72
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$0.00Apr 22, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$59.00Apr 22, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$4.50Apr 22, 19:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$9.74Apr 21, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$9.76Apr 21, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$5.70Apr 20, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$2.90Apr 20, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$6.60Apr 17, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$6.40Apr 17, 18:49 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.05Apr 17, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$4.50Apr 16, 19:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$49.68Apr 16, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$45.50Apr 16, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$0.29Apr 16, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$0.26Apr 16, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$0.18Apr 16, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$0.30Apr 16, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$0.65Apr 16, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$0.30Apr 16, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$0.65Apr 16, 18:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
46% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $6.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 16, 18:35 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 20:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.