Far-Flung-Pilaf
0xc8fa9b6ef454e801f6dbaaa1859f3d85af55d338
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
44
Open notional
$504.54
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$2.49
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
222 shares @ 90.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$192.22
$-7.78
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
106 shares @ 91.4¢·now 95.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.74
$4.17
- YES
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
233 shares @ 42.8¢·now 42.5¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$99.21
$-0.79
- NO
Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?
140 shares @ 60.1¢·now 58.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$81.04
$-2.96
- YES
Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season?
55 shares @ 21.9¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.76
$-3.24
- YES
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 11.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.40
$-2.60
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
29 shares @ 28.0¢·now 20.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.79
$-2.30
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
33 shares @ 29.9¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$3.85
$-6.15
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 4.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.93
$-7.07
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
30 shares @ 40.4¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.59
$-9.71
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 30, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 23, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $17.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.