Wallet digest

active

Activity score

64/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-163.13

Realised

$4.46

Win rate

86%

7 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 27

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
1051 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026
$0.00
$-2.00
YES
Will Death Stranding 2: On The Beach win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
722 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-23.00
YES
Will DtMF by Bad Bunny be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?
286 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025
$0.00
$-11.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
240 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026
$0.00
$-6.00
YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
149 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025
$0.00
$-6.11
NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by December 31?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025
$0.00
$-1.00
YES
Will Donkey Kong Bananza win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
108 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-2.05
NO
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
96 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-9.50
YES
Will Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
87 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025
$0.00
$-4.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 12AM ET
83 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025
$0.00
$-2.00

Recent activity

TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$11.57Mar 12, 02:36 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$4.13Mar 12, 02:35 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$5.00Mar 12, 02:34 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$10.00Mar 12, 02:34 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$10.66Mar 12, 02:33 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$10.00Mar 12, 02:32 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$3.00Mar 12, 02:28 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$3.00Mar 12, 02:27 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$1.49Mar 12, 02:27 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$0.75Mar 12, 02:27 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$3.00Mar 12, 02:27 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$2.76Mar 12, 00:47 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$3.40Mar 12, 00:46 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$3.00Mar 12, 00:46 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$3.00Mar 12, 00:45 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$1.00Mar 12, 00:43 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$3.00Mar 12, 00:41 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$2.98Mar 12, 00:40 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$3.19Mar 12, 00:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$3.00Mar 12, 00:39 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence23 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry22 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk45 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 49
Avg trade size: $2.69
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 11, 23:47 UTC
Last active: Mar 12, 02:36 UTC
Win rate sample: 7 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 11:15:17 UTC·src:Polymarket Data