Hard-Butterfly
0xc90296c2a73313c9cf9fd84d60a573c29cecc498
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$52.85
Total PnL
$-145.90
Realised
$-3.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
51 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$51.33
$31.33
- YES
Obama arrested before 2027?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 7.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.52
$-8.48
- NO
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?
404 shares @ 12.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
385 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Joe Biden attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
318 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Kamala Harris attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
80 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
61 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-35.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?$20.00Nov 20, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris attend Dick Cheney's funeral?$20.00Nov 20, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Joe Biden attend Dick Cheney's funeral?$10.00Nov 20, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$41.25Nov 20, 04:35 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$0.00Nov 13, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Volodymyr Zelensky win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.00Nov 13, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.00Nov 13, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.00Nov 13, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.00Nov 13, 14:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$0.00Nov 13, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$80.00Nov 13, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLObama arrested before 2027?$18.00Nov 13, 14:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$74.34Nov 13, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$80.17Nov 6, 23:03 UTC
- SPLITObama arrested before 2027?$20.00Nov 5, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$50.00Oct 29, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?$50.00Oct 29, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?$50.00Oct 26, 20:25 UTC
- TRADESELLAspinall vs. Gane$120.27Oct 25, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYAspinall vs. Gane$20.00Oct 25, 20:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $37.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 10, 06:45 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 20, 04:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".