Frivolous-Pollutant
0xc92832638e62925cc4ddf1cd6da293d46f9fe2f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-174.5K
Realised
$-19.3K
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?
298115 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-45.4K
- YES
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?
175000 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-54.2K
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 1-4
111650 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214
67624 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
56623 shares @ 58.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-33.0K
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64
50000 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-3.0K
- YES
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 5-14
33569 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-772.09
- NO
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
19964 shares @ 70.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-14.1K
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154
17031 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-493.91
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104
6099 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-579.45
Recent activity
- REDEEMIran Nuke in 2024?$11.76May 22, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMAnother Israeli military action against Iran in 2024?$36.65May 22, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMTrump nominates Elon Musk to Cabinet?$13.3KFeb 1, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Republican candidate win Nevada by 4.0% or more? $7.4KDec 1, 23:13 UTC
- REDEEM2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34$0.00Dec 1, 23:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican candidate win Nevada by 4.0% or more? $181.00Nov 13, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214$6.00Nov 10, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214$5.00Nov 10, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214$3.00Nov 9, 23:51 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214$4.70Nov 9, 23:47 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214$0.27Nov 9, 23:46 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214$0.03Nov 9, 23:45 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214$10.46Nov 9, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214$14.37Nov 9, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214$9.43Nov 9, 22:51 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214$3.42Nov 9, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214$4.01Nov 9, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214$15.03Nov 9, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214$0.09Nov 9, 20:43 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214$0.24Nov 9, 19:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $838.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 8, 05:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 05:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.