Considerate-Criminal
0xc92c0109d888995ba49bce42e66c1036d55f643c
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-49.65
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Army" or "Navy" during Women's History Month event?
573 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?
342 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
95 shares @ 31.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-29.66
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$0.00Mar 15, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$45.73Mar 14, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$0.00Mar 14, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$0.00Mar 14, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$0.00Mar 14, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$0.00Mar 14, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$0.00Mar 14, 22:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$0.00Mar 14, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$10.00Mar 14, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$54.81Mar 14, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$30.00Mar 14, 04:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?$30.93Mar 14, 04:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?$38.88Mar 13, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$50.00Mar 13, 01:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at $75-$80 in March?$14.15Mar 13, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$10.00Mar 13, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) settle at $75-$80 in March?$20.00Mar 12, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Army" or "Navy" during Women's History Month event?$10.00Mar 12, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$14.63Mar 12, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?$15.00Mar 12, 21:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
13 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $26.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 21:11 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 02:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.