Mature-Hawk
0xc930ddcfcdd9b316e06165bacc1f4839141c9ed4
Wallet digest
Activity score
37/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-20.2K
Realised
$-5.4K
Win rate
17%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- NO
Israel military action against Iraq before November?
206408 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-591.77
- YES
Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?
94477 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.5K
- YES
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?
83420 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
68709 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
Will Hakeem Jeffries be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?
56304 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-350.26
- YES
Will Gallego win Arizona Senate election by 1-2%?
42471 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-1.6K
- PELTOLA
AK-1 election: Peltola (D) vs. Begich (R)
25619 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-591.95
- YES
Will Kari Lake win Arizona Senate election by 0-1%?
22841 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 17, 2024$0.00
$-158.70
- YES
Will USR win the most seats in the Romanian parliamentary election?
19198 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2024$0.00
$-728.92
- YES
Will the Independence Party win the most seats in the Icelandic parliamentary election?
14890 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2024$0.00
$-2.1K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 21-28?$2.22Feb 23, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another coalition form the next German Government?$2.23Feb 23, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 550-599 times Feb 21-28?$7.04Feb 23, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?$7.04Feb 23, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the CDU/CSU win by less than 2%?$0.90Feb 23, 17:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?$17.16Feb 23, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win by 4-6%?$2.00Feb 23, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the CDU/CSU win by less than 2%?$2.39Feb 23, 17:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?$28.20Feb 23, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?$2.34Feb 23, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?$3.20Feb 23, 07:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another coalition form the next German Government?$3.20Feb 23, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win by 2-4%?$35.72Feb 23, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the CDU/CSU win by less than 2%?$41.00Feb 23, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another coalition form the next German Government?$12.42Feb 23, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?$12.00Feb 23, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win between 24% and 26% of the vote in the German election?$13.26Feb 23, 03:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the AfD win more than 26% of the vote in the German election?$13.26Feb 23, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win more than 26% of the vote in the German election?$30.40Feb 23, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government?$112.04Feb 23, 02:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $30.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 09:57 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 23, 21:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".