Fine-Ambition
0xc9336a4f8dfa2e3374d222abc89a97a480a1f519
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-197.27
Realised
$-6.36
Win rate
0%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1200 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 8?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 8?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Jude Bellingham: 2+ goals
238 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 England?
126 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-7.91
- YES
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals
80 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Belgium?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
51 shares @ 48.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- TEAM SPIRIT
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner
41 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 7?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLDota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival$1.36Jul 15, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival$20.78Jul 15, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival$20.62Jul 15, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLGame Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)$42.51Jul 15, 13:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$0.00Jul 15, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$18.74Jul 15, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$25.89Jul 15, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)$20.53Jul 15, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYJude Bellingham: 2+ goals$10.48Jul 14, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYJude Bellingham: 1+ goals$20.75Jul 14, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 14?$10.33Jul 13, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBunschoten: Pieter De Lange vs Michael Geerts AND Swiss Open: Kilian Feldbausch vs Miomir Kecmanovic AND Swiss Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Joel Schwaerzler AND Bunschoten: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Filippo Romano AND Iasi Open, Qualification: Ilinca Amariei vs Carmen Andreea Herea AND Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Vilius Gaubas AND Bunschoten: Andres Santamarta vs Max Schoenhaus AND Swiss Open: Raphael Collignon vs Timofey Skatov AND Swedish Open, Qualification: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Taro Daniel AND Swedish Open, Qualification: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Lautaro Midon AND Will India win?$4.99Jul 13, 04:24 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Atreides vs SPARTA (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group C$22.73Jul 12, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Atreides vs SPARTA (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group C$10.28Jul 12, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$29.66Jul 12, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLTotal Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 5?$0.92Jul 12, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYTotal Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 5?$20.48Jul 12, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner$20.51Jul 12, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$20.60Jul 12, 10:39 UTC
- TRADESELLTotal Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?$0.58Jul 12, 10:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 18 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
18 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $16.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 06:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 14:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.