Hard-Belligerency
0xc9411cd1113874e0d23215806996d18df6cef29b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-41.95
Realised
$2.69
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
621 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-13.67
- YES
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Univision town hall?
150 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2024$0.00
$-5.55
- NO
Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 18?
76 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2024$0.00
$-2.43
- YES
Will Trump say "MAGA" 3 or more times during Univision town hall?
45 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2024$0.00
$-8.10
- YES
Will Trump say "hispanics love me" during Univision town hall?
23 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2024$0.00
$-2.99
- YES
Will Trump say "latino" or "latina" during Univision town hall?
20 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2024$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Tren de Aragua" during Univision town hall?
15 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2024$0.00
$-3.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump launch a coin before the election?$13.67Oct 16, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "hispanics love me" during Univision town hall?$2.99Oct 16, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Univision town hall?$5.55Oct 16, 23:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala say "gun" during Fox News interview? $0.01Oct 16, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tren de Aragua" during Univision town hall?$3.90Oct 16, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "MAGA" 3 or more times during Univision town hall?$8.10Oct 16, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "latino" or "latina" during Univision town hall?$8.00Oct 16, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin above $62,000 on October 18?$0.03Oct 16, 23:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin above $62,000 on October 18?$3.81Oct 16, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala say "abortion" during Fox News interview? $0.01Oct 16, 22:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala say "opportunity" 3 or more times during Fox News interview? $0.20Oct 16, 22:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala say "abortion" during Fox News interview? $0.02Oct 16, 22:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala say "Inflation" 3 or more times during Fox News interview? $0.20Oct 16, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "gun" during Fox News interview? $7.50Oct 16, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala say "Trump" 10 or more times during Fox News interview? $20.65Oct 16, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "Trump" 10 or more times during Fox News interview? $0.22Oct 16, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala say "Border" 5 or more times during Fox News interview? $24.77Oct 16, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "Trump" 10 or more times during Fox News interview? $0.99Oct 16, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "Trump" 10 or more times during Fox News interview? $2.80Oct 16, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "opportunity" 3 or more times during Fox News interview? $4.20Oct 16, 20:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $11.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 16, 18:14 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 16, 23:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".