Grandiose-Mansion
0xc944805d2e191abc0b91601839762bfb6487e252
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
91
Open notional
$5.81
Total PnL
$-27.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- NO
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.64
$0.64
- NO
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
1 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- NO
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 6?
1 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela on January 6?$1.00Jan 4, 08:10 UTC
- REDEEMThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?$1.00Dec 26, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?$1.00Dec 15, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$500.00Dec 13, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$500.00Dec 13, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$250.00Dec 13, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$250.00Dec 13, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$250.00Dec 13, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$250.00Dec 13, 04:09 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$500.00Dec 12, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$500.00Dec 12, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$500.00Dec 12, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$500.00Dec 12, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$250.00Dec 12, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$250.00Dec 12, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$250.00Dec 12, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$250.00Dec 12, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$500.00Dec 12, 05:56 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$500.00Dec 12, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$250.00Dec 12, 04:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $217.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 07:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 4, 08:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.