Sorrowful-Fawn
0xc948fbb29c1de5db31f552a717dc62d4cd849ee8
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-44.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on March 22?
740 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.48
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on October 26?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on March 12?
418 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 18?
309 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
- YES
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $260 before 2026??
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 24 be between 2,200,000 and 2,300,000?
87 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?
51 shares @ 73.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-37.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$108.11Jun 3, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?$108.01Jun 2, 12:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in May 2026?$108.11May 26, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 700-719 tweets in May 2026?$108.01May 25, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?$108.11May 22, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?$108.01May 22, 11:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?$108.32May 19, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19?$108.02May 19, 11:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 10?$108.11May 10, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 10?$108.01May 10, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 7?$108.22May 7, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 7?$108.02May 7, 12:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 5?$108.11May 5, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 5?$108.01May 4, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$108.11Apr 30, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?$108.00Apr 30, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on April 28?$107.10Apr 30, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on April 28?$107.00Apr 27, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 18?$30.11Apr 27, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 18?$77.36Apr 27, 11:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $83.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 11:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 18:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.