Tart-Occupation
0xc950f8f17a5e6429617ff56c737fcc39d7f89420
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$52.93
Total PnL
$-588.66
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
20%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 29?
32 shares @ 13.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$31.61
$27.31
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
100 shares @ 11.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$9.50
$-1.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 31?
15 shares @ 22.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.78
$2.48
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on July 30?
15 shares @ 29.2¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$2.92
$-1.57
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 30?
23 shares @ 10.6¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$1.04
$-1.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 30?
25 shares @ 5.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$1.00
$-0.25
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 30?
21 shares @ 11.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.84
$-1.47
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C or below on July 29?
15 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.08
$-0.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 29?
13 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.07
$-3.02
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on July 29?
45 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.02
$-3.89
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?$6.65Jul 29, 14:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$22.17Jul 29, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$27.71Jul 29, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 30?$1.31Jul 29, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 30?$1.60Jul 29, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 30?$1.30Jul 29, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on July 29?$1.36Jul 29, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on July 30?$1.19Jul 29, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 30?$2.05Jul 29, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 29?$1.23Jul 29, 05:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 29?$1.90Jul 29, 05:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 28?$6.00Jul 29, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 28?$5.14Jul 29, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 29?$1.40Jul 29, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 29?$1.24Jul 29, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C or below on July 29?$0.31Jul 29, 04:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 29?$0.16Jul 29, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 29?$0.22Jul 29, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 29?$1.13Jul 29, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 29?$2.80Jul 29, 04:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
37/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 20 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
20 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $2.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 14:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 14:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.