Harmful-Fall
0xc952790805f09871987719d70da4435dd05e446b
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.27
Total PnL
$-50.96
Realised
$0.49
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Weed rescheduled by June 30?
13 shares @ 30.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.27
$-3.73
- YES
Will Starmer say "Public Health" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
77 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- NO
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
69 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
51 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
32 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will Trump say "Christmas" this week? (April 19)
30 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
27 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-7.59
- YES
Will "Chocolate" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 20)
26 shares @ 22.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-5.81
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
20 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.77
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?
19 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$4.00Apr 22, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWeed rescheduled by June 30?$4.00Apr 22, 21:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?$8.36Apr 22, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$8.00Apr 22, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.11Apr 22, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Monkey" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 20)$7.54Apr 22, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Monkey" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 20)$4.00Apr 21, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Invasion" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 20)$1.20Apr 20, 06:45 UTC
- REDEEMHawks vs. Knicks$0.00Apr 19, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Knicks$2.00Apr 18, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Invasion" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 20)$3.00Apr 18, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Chocolate" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience of the week? (April 20)$6.00Apr 18, 22:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?$2.00Apr 18, 22:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$3.00Apr 18, 22:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$1.00Apr 18, 22:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$1.00Apr 18, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Public Health" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$2.00Apr 18, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$0.00Apr 18, 22:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Ronaldo" be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?$0.00Apr 18, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMSidemen Charity Match 2026: Winner$0.00Apr 18, 22:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $3.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 10:10 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 21:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.